Consumers still not real confident
June 3, 2002,
Consumer confidence inched up slightly in May but has remained virtually unchanged over the past three months as Americans remain cautious about the prospects for the balance of the year.
"Consumers' upbeat mood about current business and labor conditions underscores the economy's continuing recovery, but the latest retreat in expectations suggest that the pace of economic growth will not accelerate in the months ahead," said Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board's Consumer Research Center.
More than 21 percent of consumers rate current business conditions "good," up from 19.7 percent the preceding month. And only 18.8 percent said current conditions are "bad," down from 19.4 percent in April. And 20.9 percent say jobs are "plentiful," unchanged from April.
But looking ahead over the next six months, consumers remain cautious. Only 24.9 percent expect business conditions to improve, down from 26.0 percent in April. And the number who expect conditions to deteriorate climbed to 6.7 percent from 6.4 percent a month ago.
With the outlook somewhat more clouded, consumers are pulling in their horns and saying they expect to do less buying for homes, autos, appliances and vacations. Reinforcing that "stop and save" mentality, fewer consumers — 20.6 percent, down from 21.1 percent in April — expect a pay increase during the next six months.
Consumer confidence by region
|East North Central||4.5|
|West North Central||-11.5|
|East South Central||-1.4|
|West South Central||-12.8|
Consumer Buying Plans — May
Plans to purchase over the next six months
|Source: The Conference Board